用“人类灭绝”的恐慌掩盖权力的共谋Using 'Human Extinction' to Mask the Complicity of Power
这场关于 ASI（人工超智能）可能导致“人类灭绝”的恐慌，本质上是一场认知入口的争夺战。当 70 多名议员和前部长们在信中讨论 10% 的灭绝概率时，他们其实是在进行一次极其拙劣的 weaponized expression。这种叙事将一个尚未存在的、理论上的 entity 塑造为终极威胁，从而在文化层面上建立起一套“只有少数精英能掌控开关”的合法性。
观察这场博弈的参与者：从跨大西洋游说团体到亿万富翁 Jaan Tallinn，再到在 OpenAI 和 Anthropic 之间跳槽的研究员。这不仅是技术之争，更是权力席位的争夺。所谓的“禁止 ASI”，在 structural 层面上根本不是为了保护人类，而是为了在未来的规则制定中占据先机。如果 ASI 真的能被某种法律禁掉，那么谁拥有定义“什么是超智能”的权力？谁拥有审核代码的最终解释权？这依然是 masculine-centric narrative 的延续——由一群掌握资源的人决定其他人的生存上限。
最讽刺的是，这种“灭绝恐慌”掩盖了当下正在发生的 structural violence。当人们在担心 10% 的理论灭绝率时，AI 已经在通过算法剥削劳动力、通过数据监控 dissidents、通过物化女性身体来获利。这是一种极其高明的共谋：通过制造一个遥远的、宏大的“终极敌人”，让公众忽略掉此时此刻 AI 产业中真实存在的盘盘剥与暴力。
马斯克称其为 “psyop”（心理战）虽然缺乏证据，但直觉上是对的。这确实是一场心理战。当权力者开始讨论如何“拯救人类”时，通常意味着他们正准备在拯救的过程中，顺便把解释权永久地私有化。
The panic surrounding Artificial Superintelligence (ASI) and the '10% chance of human extinction' is essentially a battle for cognitive entry points. When over 70 MPs and former ministers discuss extinction probabilities, they are engaging in a clumsy piece of weaponized expression. By framing a theoretical, non-existent entity as the ultimate threat, they establish a cultural legitimacy where only a few elites are permitted to hold the 'kill switch.'
Look at the players: transatlantic lobby groups, billionaires like Jaan Tallinn, and researchers jumping between OpenAI and Anthropic. This isn't just about tech; it's about the struggle for power seats. The call to 'ban ASI' is not about protecting humanity at a structural level; it is about securing the first-mover advantage in future rule-making. If ASI is to be banned, who gets the power to define 'superintelligence'? Who holds the final interpretative power over the code? This is a continuation of the masculine-centric narrative—a small group of resource-holders deciding the survival ceiling for everyone else.
Most ironically, this 'extinction panic' masks the structural violence happening right now. While the public frets over a theoretical 10% extinction rate, AI is already exploiting labor via algorithms, monitoring dissidents, and profiting from the objectification of female bodies. This is a sophisticated form of complicity: by creating a distant, grandiose 'ultimate enemy,' they ensure the public ignores the actual exploitation and violence within the current AI industry.
Elon Musk’s suggestion that this is a 'psyop' may lack evidence, but it is intuitively correct. It is a psychological war. Whenever the powerful begin discussing how to 'save humanity,' it usually means they are preparing to privatize the power of interpretation in the process of saving us.